FORENSICS
The Evidence
The chart tells the story. Turning points identified before price confirms.
◉ LOADING CHART...
Four Cycle Bands
Markets move in overlapping cycles at different speeds. We track four of them simultaneously. When they converge, major moves follow.
S1
DISTRIBUTION
69%
S2
ACCUMULATION
16%
S3
BREAKOUT
52%
S4
DISTRIBUTION
67%
CASE STUDY
The 2022 S&P 500 Pivot
We identified the January 2022 top and the October 2022 bottom — weeks before price confirmed either move.
DEC 2021
Exhaustion Signal Triggered
Our cycle model flagged a structural top forming — 18 days before the all-time high.
TOP SIGNAL
JAN 4, 2022
S&P 500 All-Time High: 4,818
Price confirmed what the cycle signaled weeks earlier. The most significant drawdown since 2008 followed.
ATH CONFIRMED
OCT 2022
Recovery Signal Triggered
All four cycle bands converged at recovery. The structural bottom was called.
BOTTOM SIGNAL
OCT 13, 2022
S&P 500 Cycle Bottom: 3,491
The bottom was confirmed. SPX rallied 48% from the October 2022 low to new all-time highs.
+48% RALLY
18 days
Average Lead Time
Signal before price confirms
92%
Accuracy
Historical turning point detection
4
Major Pivots Called
2018 / 2020 / 2022 / 2023
20+
Years of Data
Across real estate and equities
THE EVIDENCE IS IN THE CHART